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Euroforge: Growth hopes deferred to 2020

The uncertainties of the future economic development are still a major concern in the forging industry. During the last six months, there has been no sign for a positive change in the world global growth outlook, while on the contrary the experts are reducing growth expectation, even for 2019. According to IMF and OECD updates it is likely that the world growth would end up by only 3 % at the end of 2019 and just a little improvement is expected in 2020.

von | 19.11.19

The uncertainties of the future economic development are still a major concern in the forging industry. During the last six months, there has been no sign for a positive change in the world global growth outlook, while on the contrary the experts are reducing growth expectation, even for 2019. According to IMF and OECD updates it is likely that the world growth would end up by only 3 % at the end of 2019 and just a little improvement is expected in 2020.
The uncertainties and economic tensions have also been reflected onto the forging industry, where the growth forecast for 2019 has been reduced to 0,7 % in October from 1,2 % in April. Especially the commercial vehicle market in Europe and China is getting hit hard for the last couple of months. This slowdown makes high impact on investments, decision making and expanding strategies. Growth in non-automotive sector seems still better than automotive, where the effects of trade fights and other risks are much more impacted. Forgers are working to get new projects on one side, while trying to survive with current downturn, high energy prices and volatile demand situation on the other side. The global vehicle production will be hit by - 6 % in 2019 compared to 2018, according to IHS. Europe and North America are slowing down by - 4 %, where China is getting back by - 9 %, resulting the main losses of 2019 vehicle production. The sales forecasts of the top 10 producers are also expected to reduce by - 3 % this year. As we are getting to year end, European forging industry hopes for a good and successful 2020, where the trade and political conflicts are ended, geopolitical crises are over and overall industry recovers again back to healthy and growing position. (Source: EUROFORGE AISBL)

The uncertainties and economic tensions have also been reflected onto the forging industry, where the growth forecast for 2019 has been reduced to 0,7 % in October from 1,2 % in April. Especially the commercial vehicle market in Europe and China is getting hit hard for the last couple of months. This slowdown makes high impact on investments, decision making and expanding strategies. Growth in non-automotive sector seems still better than automotive, where the effects of trade fights and other risks are much more impacted. Forgers are working to get new projects on one side, while trying to survive with current downturn, high energy prices and volatile demand situation on the other side.
The global vehicle production will be hit by – 6 % in 2019 compared to 2018, according to IHS. Europe and North America are slowing down by – 4 %, where China is getting back by – 9 %, resulting the main losses of 2019 vehicle production.
The sales forecasts of the top 10 producers are also expected to reduce by – 3 % this year.
As we are getting to year end, European forging industry hopes for a good and successful 2020, where the trade and political conflicts are ended, geopolitical crises are over and overall industry recovers again back to healthy and growing position.
(Source: EUROFORGE AISBL)

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